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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Armstrong (12')
Downes (34'), Armstrong (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Latte Lath (90')
Ayling (45+2'), Latte Lath (50'), Jones (50'), Azaz (62'), O'Brien (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-2 Sunderland
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Middlesbrough

 Both sides will be motivated to collect maximum points to boost their promotion hopes, and although Southampton will be regarded as slight favourites, Middlesbrough cannot be taken lightly considering their away form and victory over the Saints in the reverse fixture. Six of the last eight meetings between these two sides have seen both teams score, with Southampton netting in all eight of those matches, and we can see the Saints just edging this closely-fought contest on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
55.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)57.39% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 55.31%
    Middlesbrough 23.45%
    Draw 21.23%
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Southampton
74.1%
Draw
17.2%
Middlesbrough
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
McGree (44'), Howson (66' pen.)
Jones (53'), Hackney (58'), Smith (90+6')
Armstrong (17')
Martin (54')
> Preview
May 13, 2017 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Southampton
Bamford (73')
Clayton (66'), Gibson (86'), de Roon (90')
Rodriguez (42'), Redmond (57')
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2016 2.15pm
Southampton
1-0
Middlesbrough
Boufal (53')
Tadic (22'), Boufal (45'), Fonte (55'), Romeu (58')

Barragan (17'), Forshaw (52'), Clayton (80')
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
Bailey (45'), Zemmama (77')
Zemmama (37'), Bailey (49'), Hines (51')
Sharp (1')
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-0
Middlesbrough
Connolly (80')

Robson (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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