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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite the difference in league positions, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. We fancy Wednesday to be competitive throughout, perhaps even leading at one stage, but Boro are playing with the kind of confidence that suggests that they could prevail through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
60.95% (0.139 0.14) 21.68% (-0.044 -0.04) 17.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)46.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)68.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (0.053000000000011 0.05)14.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (0.103 0.1)42.72% (-0.105 -0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)76.66% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 60.94%
    Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%
    Draw 21.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sheff Weds

Middlesbrough
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
1-1
Middlesbrough
Musaba (38')
Windass (31'), Byers (86')
Lenihan (53')
Jones (48')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-1
Sheff Weds
Bolasie (20'), Coburn (73'), Watmore (81')
McNair (27')
Windass (39' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-1
Middlesbrough
Paterson (30'), Shaw (40')
Bannan (45+3'), Palmer (88')
Watmore (49')
Saville (42'), Morsy (45+3')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Middlesbrough
1-4
Sheff Weds
McNair (19')
Clayton (5' og.), Iorfa (6'), Reach (23'), Fletcher (34')
Bannan (72'), Nuhiu (76'), Luongo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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