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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bournemouth logo

Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
26.94%27.04%46.02%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 26.94%
    Bournemouth 46.02%
    Draw 27.04%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.74%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Bournemouth
68.4%
57
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
4-0
Luton
Billing (8', 79'), Wilson (67'), Solanke (82')
Billing (41')

Jones (41')
Jan 27, 2009 3pm
Bournemouth
1-1
Luton
Hollands (29')
Pearce (71'), Cooper (81')
Hollands (11' og.)
Nicholls (27'), Hall (43'), Roper (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston391017123946-747
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Derby CountyDerby39118204251-941
21Hull City391011183948-941
22Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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