Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bournemouth
26.94%	27.04%	46.02%

Both teams to score 47.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.83%

57.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97%

78.03%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.15%

36.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.36%

73.64%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19%

24.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61%

59.39%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 26.94%

Bournemouth 46.02%

Draw 27.04%

Luton Town	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.94%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 12.74% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-3 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.02%