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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bournemouth logo

Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
26.94%27.04%46.02%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 26.94%
    Bournemouth 46.02%
    Draw 27.04%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.74%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Bournemouth
68.4%
57
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
4-0
Luton
Billing (8', 79'), Wilson (67'), Solanke (82')
Billing (41')

Jones (41')
Jan 27, 2009 3pm
Bournemouth
1-1
Luton
Hollands (29')
Pearce (71'), Cooper (81')
Hollands (11' og.)
Nicholls (27'), Hall (43'), Roper (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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