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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Sporar (53' pen.)
McNair (66'), Taylor (77'), Jones (82'), Hernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cahill (43'), Billing (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bournemouth

There will be those who feel that Middlesbrough are the marginal favourites for this contest, and it is difficult to argue against that. Nevertheless, Bournemouth will click back into gear at some stage, and they could be full value for a share of the spoils in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
32.61%27.28%40.11%
Both teams to score 49.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12%55.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23%76.99%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72%27.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28%62.72%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.61%
    Bournemouth 40.11%
    Draw 27.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.11%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bournemouth

Middlesbrough
31.7%
Draw
28.6%
Bournemouth
39.7%
63
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Billing (14'), Lerma (66'), Solanke (83')
Billing (59'), Smith (79')
Watmore (63')
McNair (69'), Bola (90+1')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
1-1
Bournemouth
Browne (81')
Saville (30')
Solanke (38')
Mepham (51'), Stacey (63')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Simpson (49'), Wilson (75' pen.), Afobe (82')
Tavernier (56')
Fry (39')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
4-0
Middlesbrough
King (2'), Afobe (16'), Pugh (65'), Daniels (70')

Ramirez (14'), Friend (58'), Ayala (67')
Ramirez (20')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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