Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Sporar (53' pen.)
McNair (66'), Taylor (77'), Jones (82'), Hernandez (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cahill (43'), Billing (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bournemouth

There will be those who feel that Middlesbrough are the marginal favourites for this contest, and it is difficult to argue against that. Nevertheless, Bournemouth will click back into gear at some stage, and they could be full value for a share of the spoils in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Bournemouth
32.61%	27.28%	40.11%

Both teams to score 49.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.12%

55.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23%

76.99%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11%

31.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67%

68.33%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72%

27.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28%

62.72%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 32.61%

Bournemouth 40.11%

Draw 27.27%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.61%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.11%