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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.55% | 23.93% | 20.52% |
Both teams to score 49.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% | 50.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% | 72.73% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.83% | 18.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.85% | 49.15% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.71% | 39.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% | 76% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |