FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton4 - 0Harrogate
We said: Luton Town 2-0 Harrogate Town
Despite morale being boosted with their EFL Trophy win earlier this week, this represents a significant step-up for Harrogate. The Hatters should have enough quality to claim a relatively comfortable victory, regardless of the team that Jones selects on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 35.52% | 25.06% | 39.42% |
| Both teams to score 57.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% | 46.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% | 68.35% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.97% | 60.02% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% | 23.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 35.52%
Harrogate Town 39.42%
Draw 25.05%
| Luton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.52% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.42% |
How you voted: Luton vs Harrogate
Luton Town
81.3%Draw
9.4%Harrogate Town
9.4%64
