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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.71% ( -0.04) | 27.35% ( 0.01) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.07% ( -0.04) | 56.93% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.15% ( -0.03) | 77.84% ( 0.03) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.03) | 26.37% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.05) | 61.52% ( 0.05) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% ( -0) | 34.35% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0) | 71.06% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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