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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Flemming (5', 49')
Wallace (29'), Burey (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNair (42'), Jones (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
42.71% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 27.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.93% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.93% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.84% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)26.37% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 42.71%
    Middlesbrough 29.93%
    Draw 27.35%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.93%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
51.2%
Draw
37.8%
Middlesbrough
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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