Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 3
Cardiff

Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
McGree (81')

FT(HT: 0-3)

O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Wintle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sunderland
Monday, September 5 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	West Bromwich Albion	8	2	9
17	Middlesbrough	8	-1	9
18	Luton Town	8	-1	9

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Birmingham City	8	-3	8
22	Cardiff City	8	-4	8
23	Huddersfield Town	7	-4	4

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Even if the introduction of Robinson from the first whistle can give Cardiff a bit more bite on the attacking front, their away-day struggles are showing no signs of letting up soon. With Middlesbrough also proving an incredibly tough nut to crack at home, we can only picture Wilder's side picking up where they left off with another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
56.76% ( 0.07)	26.01% ( 0.02)	17.22% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 39.17% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.96% (

-0.16)

62.03% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23% (

-0.12)

81.76% (

0.12)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

-0.04)

22.09% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.06)

55.45% (

0.06)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.28% (

-0.21)

49.71% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54% (

-0.15)

84.45% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 56.75%

Cardiff City 17.22%

Draw 26.01%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 16.58% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.75%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.22%