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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
50.55% ( -0.18) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 23.68% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( 0.31) | 54.76% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( 0.26) | 76.07% ( -0.26) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( 0.05) | 21.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( 0.07) | 54.85% ( -0.08) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.61% ( 0.38) | 38.38% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.86% ( 0.36) | 75.14% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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