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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
50.55% ( -0.18) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 23.68% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( 0.31) | 54.76% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( 0.26) | 76.07% ( -0.26) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( 0.05) | 21.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( 0.07) | 54.85% ( -0.08) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.61% ( 0.38) | 38.38% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.86% ( 0.36) | 75.14% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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