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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton


Cantwell (75')
McLean (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (62')
Potts (74'), Adebayo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Luton Town

Norwich's mini-slump is slightly concerning, but they are still scoring goals and playing well at home. Luton should not be taken lightly, though, and we expect them to leave Carrow Road with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
46.28% (0.225 0.23) 25.67% (-0.524 -0.52) 28.05% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.29% (1.803 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (2.247 2.25)51.32% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (1.929 1.93)73.14% (-1.935 -1.94)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (1.058 1.06)22.16% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (1.571 1.57)55.55% (-1.576 -1.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (1.419 1.42)32.82% (-1.424 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (1.55 1.55)69.39% (-1.555 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.28%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.258 0.26)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
67.5%
Draw
16.9%
Luton Town
15.7%
83
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Luton
1-3
Norwich
Gambin (57')
Hanley (8'), Rhodes (14' pen.), Pukki (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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