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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
51.91% ( 3.62) | 23.1% ( -0.42) | 24.99% ( -3.2) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( -0.66) | 42.55% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( -0.67) | 64.96% ( 0.67) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 1.09) | 16.45% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.87% ( 1.94) | 46.14% ( -1.93) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( -2.74) | 30.59% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( -3.38) | 66.82% ( 3.38) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.8) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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