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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Burnley

Burnley can continue a fine record against Luton in their Championship opener, as their hosts are injury-hit and have been slow to find new recruits; the Clarets, meanwhile, have a deep squad from which to choose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
44.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63) 24.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.16% (-0.652 -0.65)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.374 -0.37)42.95% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.372 -0.37)65.35% (0.372 0.37)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.117 0.12)19.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.194 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)26.4% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.794 -0.79)61.56% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 44.72%
    Burnley 31.16%
    Draw 24.11%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
32.2%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
50.8%
264
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')
Morris (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
1-2
Burnley
Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
0-1
Burnley
Barnes (78' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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