MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:47:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Burnley

Burnley can continue a fine record against Luton in their Championship opener, as their hosts are injury-hit and have been slow to find new recruits; the Clarets, meanwhile, have a deep squad from which to choose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
44.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63) 24.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.16% (-0.652 -0.65)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.374 -0.37)42.95% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.372 -0.37)65.35% (0.372 0.37)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.117 0.12)19.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.194 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)26.4% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.794 -0.79)61.56% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 44.72%
    Burnley 31.16%
    Draw 24.11%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
32.2%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
50.8%
264
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')
Morris (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
1-2
Burnley
Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
0-1
Burnley
Barnes (78' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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