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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
QPR logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
QPR

Murphy (48'), Ritchie (51')
Ogilvie (17'), Poole (86'), Saydee (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dunne (74')
Frey (45+4'), Chair (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Pompey will be full of confidence after recording back-to-back victories, and having won seven of their last 10 home games, we think that the hosts may do enough to squeeze past a QPR side that have lost narrowly in their previous two away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
45.19% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.36% (0.055 0.05) 28.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (-0.204 -0.2)53.82% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.172 -0.17)75.29% (0.172 0.17)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.121 -0.12)23.74% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-0.177 -0.18)57.88% (0.177 0.18)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)33.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.102 -0.1)70.5% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 45.19%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.45%
    Draw 26.35%
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs QPR

Portsmouth
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
48.6%
Draw
27.0%
Queens Park Rangers
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
1-2
Portsmouth
Dembele (9')
Field (47')
Botts (18'), Lang (57' pen.)
McIntyre (54'), Williams (85'), Yengi (90+7')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
0-2
Portsmouth

Manning (40'), Wells (64'), Kelly (77'), Kane (95')
Marquis (77' pen.), Harness (81')
Cannon (94')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
QPR
2-0
Portsmouth
Wells (70'), Smith (77')
Scowen (52')

Burgess (76')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
1-1
QPR
Brown (63')
Whatmough (27'), Curtis (77'), Brown (77')
Wells (74')
Manning (45'), Lynch (78')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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