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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
QPR logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
QPR

Murphy (48'), Ritchie (51')
Ogilvie (17'), Poole (86'), Saydee (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dunne (74')
Frey (45+4'), Chair (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Pompey will be full of confidence after recording back-to-back victories, and having won seven of their last 10 home games, we think that the hosts may do enough to squeeze past a QPR side that have lost narrowly in their previous two away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
45.19% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.36% (0.055 0.05) 28.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (-0.204 -0.2)53.82% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.172 -0.17)75.29% (0.172 0.17)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.121 -0.12)23.74% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-0.177 -0.18)57.88% (0.177 0.18)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)33.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.102 -0.1)70.5% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 45.19%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.45%
    Draw 26.35%
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs QPR

Portsmouth
48.6%
Draw
27.0%
Queens Park Rangers
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
1-2
Portsmouth
Dembele (9')
Field (47')
Botts (18'), Lang (57' pen.)
McIntyre (54'), Williams (85'), Yengi (90+7')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
0-2
Portsmouth

Manning (40'), Wells (64'), Kelly (77'), Kane (95')
Marquis (77' pen.), Harness (81')
Cannon (94')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
QPR
2-0
Portsmouth
Wells (70'), Smith (77')
Scowen (52')

Burgess (76')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
1-1
QPR
Brown (63')
Whatmough (27'), Curtis (77'), Brown (77')
Wells (74')
Manning (45'), Lynch (78')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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