Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.