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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
QPR logo

Millwall
2 - 1
QPR

Connolly (1'), Cundle (25')
Saville (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lloyd (3')
Morgan (59'), Lloyd (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

The two sides played out a draw when they last faced off in September, and with just a point separating them in the league table, we think that Millwall and QPR will produce another close-fought contest which could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.54% (0.322 0.32) 28.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 21.62% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 38.48% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.76% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)66.24% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.25% (-0.105 -0.11)84.75% (0.113 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)27.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.107 0.11)62.7% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (-0.411 -0.41)47.09% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (-0.312 -0.31)82.56% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 49.53%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.62%
    Draw 28.82%
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 16.68% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 49.53%
0-0 @ 12.83% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Millwall vs QPR

Millwall
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Queens Park Rangers
30.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Frey (40')
Paal (60'), Varane (84')
Watmore (34')
Saville (86')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
2-0
Millwall
Chair (27'), Armstrong (85')
Cifuentes (33')

Mitchell (32'), Flemming (85')
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bradshaw (45+3'), Wallace (90+1')
Emakhu (32'), Honeyman (44'), Wallace (90+3')

Dunne (9'), Smyth (37'), Chair (75')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
1-2
Millwall
Martin (82')
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
0-2
QPR
Willock (54'), Johansen (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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