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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Derby logo

QPR
vs.
Derby

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 QPR
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County

While the visitors have shown improvement under Hamshaw and the hosts have lost three of their last four, QPR will be the favourites given the difference in league standings, and we expect the home team to come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 27.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
46.18% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.27% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.12% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)53.97% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)75.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.33% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (-0.064 -0.06)57.28% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)34.63% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)71.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.18%
    Derby County 27.54%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.54%

Who will win Friday's Championship clash between QPR and Derby?

Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
33.3%
3
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
2-0
QPR
Nelson (54'), Harness (55')
Cashin (38')

Dunne (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
QPR
1-0
Derby
Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Derby
1-2
QPR
Lawrence (10')
Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
QPR
0-1
Derby

Cameron (31'), Kane (51')
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
0-1
QPR
Bonne (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd31206543222164
3Burnley31161323792861
4Sunderland311611447281959
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom311114641281347
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
9Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
10Bristol City31101293836242
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds31119114448-442
12Watford32126144248-642
13Queens Park RangersQPR321011113541-641
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea31107143342-937
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Derby CountyDerby3278173342-929
22Hull City3078153140-929
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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