Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
0 - 0
Watford

Brady (79'), Cunningham (90+3')

Manaj (37'), Cathcart (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Millwall	5	-1	7
8	Preston North End	4	1	6
9	Reading	4	-1	6

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Hull City	4	2	8
3	Watford	4	2	8
4	Sheffield United	4	2	7

We said: Preston North End 0-1 Watford

While Watford boast a stronger squad than their opponents on paper, Preston are yet to concede in six hours of league football this season, and Saturday will certainly not be an easy victory for the Hornets. We do, however, see them having enough to break down their opponents and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Watford
41.89% ( 0.64)	27.14% ( -0.4)	30.97% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

1.42)

55.77% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

1.14)

76.9% (

-1.15)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

26.27% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

1.32)

61.39% (

-1.32)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

0.57)

32.98% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

0.62)

69.56% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 41.88%

Watford 30.97%

Draw 27.13%

Preston North End	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.97%