MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 18:42:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
40.73%28.67%30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.72%
    Burnley 30.59%
    Draw 28.66%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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