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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
40.73%28.67%30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.72%
    Burnley 30.59%
    Draw 28.66%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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