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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Watford

Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Watford

Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only two goals in three league games, but faced by a well-stocked Watford attack, they may not be able to hold out on Tuesday: the visitors' abundance of options up front will tip the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
24.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.97% (0.0010000000000012 0) 49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)37.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.89%
    Watford 49.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
17.8%
Draw
15.3%
Watford
66.9%
163
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston391017123946-747
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Derby CountyDerby39118204251-941
21Hull City391011183948-941
22Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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