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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Watford

Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Watford

Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only two goals in three league games, but faced by a well-stocked Watford attack, they may not be able to hold out on Tuesday: the visitors' abundance of options up front will tip the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
24.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.97% (0.0010000000000012 0) 49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)37.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.89%
    Watford 49.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
17.8%
Draw
15.3%
Watford
66.9%
163
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
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8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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