Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Reading had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.