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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Bournemouth |
28.96% | 27.04% | 44.01% |
Both teams to score 48.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% | 77.22% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% | 34.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.59% | 71.41% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% | 25.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% | 60.15% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |