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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
0 - 1
QPR


Campbell (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adomah (48')
Laird (20'), Field (53'), Amos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 QPR
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke have allowed their season to fizzle out over the last few games and now face a tough assignment against a QPR side full of talent despite their league standing. The R's have earned notable results at West Bromwich Albion and Burnley during their last two away matches, and we believe their travelling fans will have another success to celebrate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 21.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)49.96% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.093 -0.09)71.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.07 -0.07)49.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)37.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 54.57%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.45%
    Draw 23.97%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park Rangers
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Taylor (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Stoke
0-2
QPR

Brown (86')
Austin (17'), Kakay (70')
Barbet (28'), Bonne (90')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Barbet (31'), Hamalainen (50')

Souttar (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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