Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
25.89% ( -0.18)	26.51% ( 0.1)	47.6% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.11% (

-0.49)

55.89% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

-0.4)

77% (

0.4)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.96% (

-0.42)

37.04% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17% (

-0.42)

73.83% (

0.42)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-0.17)

23.5% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-0.25)

57.53% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 25.89%

Stoke City 47.59%

Draw 26.5%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.89%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.59%