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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
25.89% ( -0.18) | 26.51% ( 0.1) | 47.6% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.11% ( -0.49) | 55.89% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23% ( -0.4) | 77% ( 0.4) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.96% ( -0.42) | 37.04% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.17% ( -0.42) | 73.83% ( 0.42) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.17) | 23.5% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( -0.25) | 57.53% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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