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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
1 - 2
Bristol City

Powell (36')
Laurent (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-4 Stoke
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Bristol City

Stoke have surely left it too late for a top-six finish but have been a joy to watch over the past few matches, and Neil's men will be confident of lengthening their unbeaten run on Friday. The Robins have continued with their inconsistency in recent times and face a tough assignment in Staffordshire on Good Friday - one we think will end in defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
53.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 25.16% (0.004999999999999 0) 21.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.036999999999999 0.04)54.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.64% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.07 0.07)77.23% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.5%
    Bristol City 21.33%
    Draw 25.16%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
82.9%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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