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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
1 - 2
West Brom

Brown (30')
Brown (21'), Fox (61'), Pearson (64'), Powell (87'), Thompson (90+5')
Pearson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (59', 69')
Pieters (44'), Chalobah (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 QPR
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke's season has started to fizzle out after a good run of form in recent months, but the visit of a mentally-wounded West Brom side is a good opportunity to earn a victory in front of their home supporters. Albion simply need to starting winning away from the Hawthorns in order to keep their playoff dreams alive, but we envisage another frustrating afternoon for the Baggies faithful on Saturday - one which will end their promotion challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.02% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.28% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 34.7% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.371 0.37)51.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.322 0.32)73.3% (-0.318 -0.32)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.81% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.43100000000001 0.43)28.34% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.54 0.54)64.07% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.02%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.7%
    Draw 26.27%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
65.7%
Draw
25.7%
West Bromwich Albion
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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