Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
0 - 4
Stoke

Hamer (42'), Rose (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brown (6'), Campbell (40'), Smallbone (71'), Hoever (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 1-0 Stoke City

Coventry are still in the hunt for the playoffs so will be highly motivated to earn maximum points against a Stoke side who are unlikely to have a dramatic end to their season. The Potters have impressed against the division's top outfits over the past month, but we see their unbeaten run coming to an end at the CBS Arena on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Stoke City
39.8% ( 0.29)	26.59% ( -0.04)	33.61% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

0.14)

52.96% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

0.12)

74.56% (

-0.12)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.22)

26.09% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

0.29)

61.15% (

-0.29)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25% (

-0.08)

29.75% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18% (

-0.1)

65.82% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 39.79%

Stoke City 33.61%

Draw 26.58%

Coventry City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.61%