Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (12.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.