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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
30.6% | 29.33% | 40.06% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.49% | 63.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.17% | 82.84% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% | 37.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% | 74.18% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% | 31.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% | 67.34% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |