Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.