Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Watford
41.72% ( -0.86)	25.64% ( -0.11)	32.63% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 54.72% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

0.75)

49.23% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

0.67)

71.29% (

-0.67)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

-0.1)

23.42% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

-0.14)

57.42% (

0.14)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

1.01)

28.54% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

1.24)

64.33% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 41.72%

Watford 32.63%

Draw 25.64%

Swansea City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.72%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.63%