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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Norwich


Naughton (49'), Wood (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9'), Hayden (36'), Idah (84'), Giannoulis (86'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Swansea
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as it is such a unique season due to the winter break. There is not an awful lot to separate the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
36.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.53%
    Norwich City 37.05%
    Draw 26.42%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
47.3%
Draw
31.1%
Norwich City
21.6%
74
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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