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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.33% (-0.565 -0.56) 25.2% (0.245 0.24) 24.47% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (-0.707 -0.71)51.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.615 -0.61)73.67% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.517 -0.52)20.64% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.822 -0.82)53.21% (0.82 0.82)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.108 -0.11)72.88% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.32%
    Swansea City 24.47%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
78.4%
Draw
15.7%
Swansea City
5.9%
51
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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