Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Swansea City
50.33% ( -0.56)	25.2% ( 0.24)	24.47% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.07% (

-0.71)

51.92% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

-0.61)

73.67% (

0.61)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.52)

20.64% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.82)

53.21% (

0.82)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

-0.11)

36.1% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

-0.11)

72.88% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Watford 50.32%

Swansea City 24.47%

Draw 25.19%

Watford	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.32%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.47%