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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.33% (-0.565 -0.56) 25.2% (0.245 0.24) 24.47% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (-0.707 -0.71)51.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.615 -0.61)73.67% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.517 -0.52)20.64% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.822 -0.82)53.21% (0.82 0.82)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.108 -0.11)72.88% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.32%
    Swansea City 24.47%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
78.4%
Draw
15.7%
Swansea City
5.9%
51
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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