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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
50.33% ( -0.56) | 25.2% ( 0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% ( -0.71) | 51.92% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( -0.61) | 73.67% ( 0.61) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.52) | 20.64% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.82) | 53.21% ( 0.82) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( -0.11) | 36.1% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( -0.11) | 72.88% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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