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Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Watford

Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')

The Match

Match Report

The Swans move above Brentford into the automatic promotion places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
36.32%30.42%33.26%
Both teams to score 40.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11%84.89%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34%71.66%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.31%
    Watford 33.25%
    Draw 30.41%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.41%
0-1 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
15.7%
Watford
25.7%
70
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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