Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Deeney (15'), Bacuna (53'), Sanderson (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15'), Wood (48'), Darling (51'), Fulton (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City

All things considered, both teams should be pushing hard for all three points after a mixed start to the campaign. However, they will each see the value in a draw, and a low-scoring affair appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
31.39% ( -1.19)	26.3% ( 0.01)	42.3% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61% (

-0.41)

52.38% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.93% (

-0.36)

74.06% (

0.35)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-1.02)

30.94% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-1.21)

67.24% (

1.2)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

0.41)

24.52% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.58)

58.98% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.39%

Swansea City 42.3%

Draw 26.3%

Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3% Total : 31.39%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.3%