Chelsea will aim to return to winning ways after their humbling defeat to West Bromwich Albion when they travel to Seville for the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final with Porto on Wednesday.
The 'hosts' overcame Juventus in thrilling fashion to book their place in the last eight, while Chelsea dumped Atletico Madrid out of the tournament in the last 16.
Match preview
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Serial Champions League winner Cristiano Ronaldo has suffered some painful defeats in his time, but none more so than Juventus' dramatic exit at the hands of Porto for the former Sporting Lisbon protege, whose side fell to defeat on away goals after a five-goal thriller in the second leg on March 9.
Federico Chiesa's brace sent the game to extra time after Sergio Oliveira's spot kick opened the scoring, and the Porto man then witnessed his low drive from a free kick sneak in past Wojciech Szczesny before Adrien Rabiot netted what proved to be an inconsequential third goal for Juventus two minutes later.
Sergio Conceicao's side were rewarded for their efforts with a spot in the quarter-finals for just the fourth time in the past 16 seasons, and they have never advanced past this stage of the tournament since Jose Mourinho took them all the way in the 2003-04 campaign - losing to Liverpool in the last eight during the 2018-19 season.
The Dragons have marched to three consecutive victories in the Primeira Liga since their historic night in Turin, and Oliveira's dead ball specialities once again set Porto on their way to victory against Santa Clara at the weekend, as the 28-year-old netted from the spot before Toni Martinez headed home five minutes into injury time in a 2-1 triumph.
Porto have only failed to find the back of the net once in their last 12 games across all competitions, but due to coronavirus travel restrictions, both legs of their quarter-final will take place at the Estadio Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan, so their 'visitors' will have an eye for goals as they look to do to Porto what West Brom did to them at the weekend.
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The likes of Everton, Manchester United and Atletico Madrid have all failed to breach Chelsea's defence at Stamford Bridge, but Sam Allardyce masterminded a mesmerising West Brom performance as Thomas Tuchel's perfect home clean-sheet record ended in disastrous fashion on Saturday.
Having already seen Thiago Silva ejected from the field of play, 10-man Chelsea succumbed to braces from Matheus Pereira and Callum Robinson, while Mbaye Diagne also got in on the act, as the Baggies' 5-2 triumph in the capital saw Tuchel suffer his first defeat since replacing Frank Lampard at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea had navigated their last seven fixtures without shipping a goal before their humiliating defeat to the relegation-threatened Baggies, but Tuchel's side still occupy the fourth and final Champions League spot as things stand, and they head into the first leg with Porto having won six of their last seven in the Champions League.
The Blues eased to a 3-0 aggregate success over Atletico to book their spot in the quarter-finals, and they have scored 11 goals and conceded just one in their four away victories in the tournament this season, but the 2013-14 season represents the last time that Chelsea managed to progress past the quarter-final stage.
Furthermore, Chelsea have come out on top in five of their eight Champions League meetings with Porto since 2004, and the most recent battle between the two clubs ended in a 2-0 home win for the Blues during the 2015-16 group stage.
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Team News
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Porto's star man Oliveira, who boasts 19 goals in all competitions this season, will miss the first leg due to an accumulation of yellow cards, so Marko Grujic could come back into the team to provide some defensive stability.
Mehdi Taremi is also suspended after his sending-off in Turin, so Luis Diaz could move into a central role, but Martinez will hope to come into Conceicao's thinking after his crucial goal against Santa Clara.
Pepe returned to the starting lineup against Santa Clara and will marshal the defence once more, while Malang Sarr is able to feature against his parent club, but he is unlikely to be considered for a start.
Jorginho and Mateo Kovacic are set to pair up in the Chelsea engine room once more, even with N'Golo Kante expected to be fit enough to make the journey for the first leg.
Christian Pulisic should also be involved despite entering the treatment room at half time during the defeat to West Brom, and it remains to be seen if Antonio Rudiger will play following reports of a bust-up with Kepa during a training session.
Silva's red card at the weekend means nothing for this game, but Andreas Christensen will hope to earn a recall to the side, especially if Rudiger is not selected to travel.
Porto possible starting lineup:
Marchesin; Manafa, Pepe, Mbemba, Sanusi; Corona, Grujic, Uribe, Otavio; Marega, Martinez
Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Zouma, Christensen; Hudson-Odoi, Jorginho, Kovacic, Chilwell; Ziyech, Mount; Giroud
We say: Porto 1-2 Chelsea
Plenty of questions will be asked after the manner in which Chelsea capitulated against Allardyce's men last time out, but Tuchel has options in abundance on the bench, which he should utilise for the first leg. Porto command plenty of respect after dumping Juventus out of the tournament, but a fired-up Chelsea will be expected to bounce back immediately from their Premier League disappointment, so we predict a slender 'away' win for the Blues this week.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
