Beijing Guoan

5 - 1

Qingdao Hainiu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.