MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 09:36:45| >> :60:143:143:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 2, 2024 at 11.15pm UK
Arena MRV
Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
vs.
Vasco

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We say: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Vasco da Gama

These sides are tied for points domestically this season (36), and we expect a close encounter on Wednesday, with the Mineiro backline holding strong and frustrating a talented Vasco squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw has a probability of 23.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.17%).

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
59.17% (3.407 3.41) 23.08% (-0.984 -0.98) 17.75% (-2.421 -2.42)
Both teams to score 47.66% (-1.092 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (0.644 0.64)51.16% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (0.56 0.56)73.01% (-0.559 -0.56)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (1.472 1.47)16.97% (-1.471 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (2.549 2.55)47.07% (-2.547 -2.55)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-2.377 -2.38)42.6% (2.379 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-2.096 -2.1)78.95% (2.098 2.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 59.17%
    Vasco da Gama 17.75%
    Draw 23.08%
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.78 0.78)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.297 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.456 0.46)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.244 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.204 0.2)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 59.17%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.587 -0.59)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.532 -0.53)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.444 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 17.75%

Who will win Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco?

Atletico Mineiro
Draw
Vasco da Gama
Atletico Mineiro
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Vasco
Hulk (27', 39')
Alonso (46')

Moura (23')
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Vasco
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Serginho (5')
Paulinho (44'), Praxedes (54'), Serginho (57'), Dias (79'), Medel (89'), Pele (90+3')

Battaglia (45+4'), Jemerson (61'), Saravia (65')
Apr 16, 2023 1am
Jan 24, 2021 12am
Gameweek 32
Vasco
3-2
Atletico Mineiro
Lopes (89')
Oct 5, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 13
Atletico Mineiro
4-1
Vasco
Borrero (72'), Alonso (87')
Benitez (78')
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