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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
37.84% ( 0.31) | 25.66% ( -0.13) | 36.5% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.42% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% ( 0.6) | 48.65% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.23% ( 0.55) | 70.77% ( -0.54) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( 0.45) | 25.18% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( 0.61) | 59.9% ( -0.61) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( 0.19) | 25.92% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.08% ( 0.25) | 60.92% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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