MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:03:45| >> :600:377981:377981:
Aston Villa logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Bayern logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran scores his fifth goal of the season from the bench to help Aston Villa claim a memorable 1-0 Champions League win over Bayern Munich at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
22.61% (1.966 1.97) 19.73% (0.81 0.81) 57.65% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-1.336 -1.34)28.97% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-1.653 -1.65)49.93% (1.655 1.66)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.774 0.77)24.94% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.059 1.06)59.57% (-1.058 -1.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (-1.056 -1.06)10.16% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-2.475 -2.47)33.4% (2.476 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.61%
    Bayern Munich 57.65%
    Draw 19.73%
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.44% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.188 0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bayern

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
70.5%
545
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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