Chinese Super League | Gameweek 33
Dec 27, 2022 at 7am UK
Tianhe Stadium
Guangzhou1 - 4Changchun
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Changchun Yatai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guangzhou 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Changchun
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
Result | ||
Guangzhou | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
22.98% ( 0.47) | 22.8% ( 0.29) | 54.22% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% ( -0.78) | 43.23% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% ( -0.78) | 65.63% ( 0.77) |
Guangzhou Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( -0.02) | 32.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( -0.02) | 69.19% ( 0.02) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( -0.53) | 15.88% ( 0.53) |