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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2022 at 8.30am UK
Aswan Stadium

Hebei
1 - 3
Sh. Shenhua

Zhang (90+2')
Haifeng (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yunding (50'), Zhu (53' pen.), Xinli (68' pen.)
Wang (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Shanghai Shenhua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hebei

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 0-2 Shanghai Port
Saturday, June 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua

Last Six:
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Hebei 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua

 The hosts have not won a match since August 2021, and with Shanghai Shenua currently enjoying a rich vein of form, we think that Hebei's wait for a victory will continue past Thursday's encounter as we expect the visitors to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 7.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 0-3 (11.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.

Result
HebeiDrawShanghai Shenhua
7.79% (0.5059 0.51) 16.26% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 75.95% (-0.589 -0.59)
Both teams to score 39.2% (2.078 2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (1.409 1.41)45.88% (-1.406 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (1.323 1.32)68.19% (-1.319 -1.32)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.71% (2.217 2.22)56.29% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.36% (1.231 1.23)88.64% (-1.227 -1.23)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (0.218 0.22)10.33% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.23% (0.491 0.49)33.77% (-0.487 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Hebei 7.79%
    Shanghai Shenhua 75.93%
    Draw 16.26%
HebeiDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
2-1 @ 2.18% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 0.96% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 7.79%
1-1 @ 7.58% (0.146 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 16.26%
0-2 @ 14.98% (-0.62 -0.62)
0-1 @ 13.19% (-0.68 -0.68)
0-3 @ 11.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.241 0.24)
0-4 @ 6.44% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-4 @ 3.7% (0.169 0.17)
0-5 @ 2.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.19 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.68% (0.092 0.09)
0-6 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 75.93%

How you voted: Hebei vs Sh. Shenhua

Hebei
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Shanghai Shenhua
83.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2021 9.30am
Sh. Shenhua
0-0
Hebei

Aidi (2'), Sheng (84')
May 10, 2021 11am
Hebei
1-1
Sh. Shenhua
Hu (5')
Yao (54'), Memisevic (63'), Chengdong (90+9')
Mierzejewski (90+9')
Hanchao (90+4')
Nov 10, 2020 7.30am
Hebei
0-1
Sh. Shenhua
Xinli (90+2' pen.)
Nov 6, 2020 7.30am
Sh. Shenhua
4-1
Hebei
Bolanos (1'), Ximing (23' og.), Xinli (53'), Martinez (76' pen.)
Sun (54'), N'Doumbou (57'), Zhu (73')
Goulart (4')
Memisevic (37'), Hongbo (68')
Memisevic (82')
Jul 18, 2020 1am
Sh. Shenhua
P-P
Hebei
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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