Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
