Cangzhou1 - 2Shenzhen
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, July 4 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 8 | -11 | 3 |
Sunday, July 3 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dalian Pro | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 8 | -5 | 7 |
We said: Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Shenzhen
Cangzhou are the joint-lowest scorers on home turf this season, and we can see them coming up short at the attacking end once again. We are also tipping the away side to scrape a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shenzhen |
25.69% ( 0.3) | 26.22% ( 0.09) | 48.08% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
