Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.