MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:09:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 3, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Lodico (43'), Batallini (51')
Rodriguez (26'), Batallini (27'), Luna (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (30'), Bouzat (34'), Fernandez (51')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Instituto
Thursday, January 30 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Platense
Wednesday, January 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 29.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
29.84% (0.389 0.39) 30.09% (0.11 0.11) 40.07% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 41.01% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.98% (-0.222 -0.22)66.02% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.4% (-0.151 -0.15)84.6% (0.152 0.15)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.185 0.18)39.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.174 0.17)76.1% (-0.173 -0.17)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)32.32% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.471 -0.47)68.82% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 29.84%
    Velez Sarsfield 40.07%
    Draw 30.08%
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.73% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.08%
0-1 @ 14.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.07%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 11
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Instituto
Romero (15' pen.)
Gomez (34'), Garcia (53'), Ordonez (90+3')

Franco (3'), Acevedo (40'), Alarcon (53')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Instituto
Gomez (81')
Gomez (9'), Fernandez (21'), Garcia (51')

Mainero (28'), Franco (43'), Cuello (65')
Oct 29, 2023 1.30am
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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