MX23RW : Monday, April 14 07:51:06| >> :600:575876:575876:
FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
4 - 0
Cavalier

Powell (19'), Boupendza (34'), Foster (71'), Valenzuela (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Calvin (12')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between FC Cincinnati and Cavalier.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Cavalier had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cavalier win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCavalier
68.72% (-0.139 -0.14) 17.36% (0.0039999999999978 0) 13.91% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.25% (0.361 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.28399999999999 0.28)32.85% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.325 0.33)54.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.041000000000011 0.04)8.69% (-0.0451 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.08% (0.104 0.1)29.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
Cavalier Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (0.365 0.37)36.2% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (0.366 0.37)72.99% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 68.72%
    Cavalier 13.91%
    Draw 17.36%
FC CincinnatiDrawCavalier
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 68.72%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.36%
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 13.91%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 2am
First Round 1st Leg
Cavalier
0-2
Cincinnati

King (90')
Santos (45+5'), Pinto (87')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal321712357273063
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle31175956401656
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace311110104140143
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


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