CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Independencia
Real Estelí2 - 1America
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real Estelí and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, February 4 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Sunday, February 4 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 88.99%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Real Estelí had a probability of 2.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (16.49%) and 0-1 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for a Real Estelí win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Estelí | Draw | Club America |
2.21% ( 0.51) | 8.8% ( 1.2) | 88.99% ( -1.71) |
Both teams to score 24.62% ( 2.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( -2.13) | 38.87% ( 2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% ( -2.28) | 61.19% ( 2.29) |
Real Estelí Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
26.13% ( 2.56) | 73.87% ( -2.55) |