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Tigres
CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 26, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
Club Leon

Tigres
2 - 1
Club Leon

Cordova (45'), Quinones (45+3')
Lichnovsky (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Davila (6')
Rodriguez (43'), Campbell (74'), Moreno (78'), Romero (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Tigres and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Club Leon
Saturday, April 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX

We said: Tigres 2-0 Club Leon

 Leon have come a long way in these international competitions, but they are facing a side who are familiar with this stage of the tournament that also look impenetrable defensively at home, and with a striker in Giganc who has feasted off La Fiera in the past. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawClub Leon
58.04% (0.16099999999999 0.16) 23.19% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 18.78% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (0.119 0.12)50.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (0.108 0.11)72.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (0.099000000000004 0.1)17% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.87% (0.177 0.18)47.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)40.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.63% (-0.038 -0.04)77.37% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 58.02%
    Club Leon 18.78%
    Draw 23.18%
TigresDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.02%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.78%

How you voted: Tigres vs Club Leon

Tigres
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Club Leon
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 1.05am
gameweek 14
Tigres
0-1
Club Leon
Samir (25' og.)
Di Yorio (13')
Mar 12, 2022 11pm
gameweek 10
Club Leon
0-3
Tigres
Gignac (22'), Quinones (27'), Thauvin (72')
Dec 5, 2021 3am
Club Leon
2-1
Tigres
Mena (8', 85')
Mosquera (4'), Tesillo (36'), Colombatto (45+3'), Davila (90+6')
Rodriguez (89')
Reyes (16')
Rodriguez (50'), Quinones (57'), Gignac (72'), Guzman (85'), Reyes (90+7')
Quinones (89')
Dec 2, 2021 3am
Tigres
2-1
Club Leon
Thauvin (89'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Gignac (60'), Rodriguez (73')
Meneses (56')
Cota (33'), Barreiro (60'), David Ramirez (89')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
gameweek 8
Tigres
2-2
Club Leon
Fulgencio (43'), Quinones (90+3')
Guzman (36'), Reyes (36'), Quinones (90+2')
Hernandez (31'), Mena (33')
Mena (58'), Tesillo (64'), Gigliotti (88')
rhs 2.0
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