Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Apr 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca3 - 2Tigres
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, March 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, March 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
33.95% ( 0.47) | 25.8% ( 0.16) | 40.25% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
