CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
The Roscow A.L. Davies Soccer Field - BFA National Centre
Bahamas1 - 4Antigua
Julmis (62')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Stevens (3', 9'), Bramble (43'), Griffith (77' pen.)
Griffith (37'), Drew (66')
Griffith (37'), Drew (66')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bahamas and Antigua and Barbuda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guyana 3-2 Bahamas
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-0 Antigua
Wednesday, September 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, September 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahamas | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
21.14% ( 0.27) | 25.34% ( 0.68) | 53.52% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
